In the new year, homebuyers and sellers are still facing the same challenges as they did in 2023—high interest rates, sky-high home prices, and an inadequate supply of homes. As affordability issues slow housing sales volume, low supplies are keeping home prices high.

Mortgage interest rates reached 8.01% in October, the highest level since 2000, but since then rates have come down. Bankrate.com experts say there’s no likelihood of a housing market turndown as long as lending standards remain strict, and there aren’t enough homes to meet demand. 

Banks are tightening their lending standards due to increases in credit card and car loan delinquencies, according to Freddie Mac. This is also impacting mortgage applications, credit lines and refinance activity – loan originations were down approximately 30% in October 2023 from the previous year.  The good news is that mortgage delinquencies are low compared to other loan types.  Inflation is waning, but still remains above the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%. Consumer spending will decelerate due to slower economic and weaker employment growth which will cause rates to come down in 2024. Continuing homebuyer demand will keep home prices elevating 2.6% in 2024, but with rates dipping as low as 6%, housing will be a little more affordable.

The Federal Reserve’s aggressive handling of inflation by raising overnight borrowing rates to banks has had a positive effect, and further rate hikes appear unlikely as the numbers get closer to the Fed’s target of 2% inflation.

Meanwhile, help is out there for those being squeezed out of the market. FHA-guaranteed loans require as little as 3.5% down. Numerous state and local governments have increased programs for first-time and lower-income homebuyers. Many lenders offer grants, down payment assistance programs, and mortgages with no closing costs. The National Association of REALTORS® offers the Housing Opportunity Program, with resources for homebuyers.

While many potential homebuyers have been knocked out of the market by higher mortgage interest rates and home prices, there’s hope on the horizon that they’ll have better luck in 2024.