Category Archives: Market Update

Housing Inventory Market View – June 1st

Rising mortgage rates and record home prices have become the norm for the opening months of the spring housing market. Frenzied buyer demand for the few homes offered for sale since mid-March has pushed purchase prices 20% above what they were listed at.

Sellers offering homes priced below $300,000 have been receiving multiple offers above asking price with escalation clauses and appraisal guarantees.  An escalation clause provides that the buyer will pay $2000 more (example) than any other competing offer up to a set price, often 20 to 25% more than the asking price.  An appraisal guarantee assures that the buyer will pay the difference between the mortgage appraisal and the offered price. With many offers, buyer have even been waiving the inspection option.

Interest rates on a 30-year conventional mortgage have risen from 3.5% at the close of 2021 to between 5% to 5.4%.  However, increasing housing prices and interest rates has not slowed down the Lansing area real estate market enough to be noticeable.  This is probably due to rising rental rates continuing to make home ownership the better option.

Market  View – June 1, 2022
• 458 currently listed homes for sale in the five county greater Lansing area.
• 302  homes have accepted offers. Awaiting inspections and/or appraisal.
• 476 homes are listed as Pending. Have completed inspections and will soon close.
• 2486 homes have closed since January 1, 2022.
• 7331 homes have closed in the past 12 months.

Mortgage interest rates
30 year fixed – 5.1% ($5.43 per $1000)
15 year fixed – 4.31% ($7.55 per $1000)

Housing Inventory Market View – April 1, 2022

This is no joke! Limited housing inventory will continue into the Spring of 2022.

Through the month of March, homes that would have once been considered overpriced have received multiple offers, exceeding asking price, within the first two days of having been made available.

It remains to be seen if rising interest rates, now almost a full percentage point above last year’s rate, will influence on buyer on upcoming offers.

Market  View – April 1, 2022
• 351 currently listed homes for sale in the five county greater Lansing area.
• 255  homes have accepted offers. Awaiting inspections and/or appraisal.
• 370 homes are listed as Pending. Have completed inspections and will soon close.
• 803 homes have closed since January 1, 2022.
• 7485 homes have closed in the past 12 months.

Mortgage interest rates
30 year fixed – 4.42% ($5.02 per $1000)
15 year fixed – 3.63% ($7.21 per $1000)

Low Housing Inventory Again!

There’s evidence of another strong seller’s market as we move into February 2022 with not nearly enough listed homes to satisfy buyer demand.

This is typically what happens when a fairly priced home is offered for sale through the real estate Multiple Listing Service.  Photos and details about the property are immediately made available on every listing service (Zillow, Realtor.com, BHHS, etc.) across the country. Buyers who have asked to be notified, are automatically alerted, and real estate agents arrange immediate showings.  Within a few days, the seller selects one from the multiple offers that have been presented, leaving the remaining buyers to wait for another home to become available.  This has become a way of life in a market with low housing inventory.

Market  View – January 30, 2022
• 440 currently listed homes for sale in the five county greater Lansing area.
• 271 homes have accepted offers. Awaiting inspections and/or appraisal.
• 351 homes are listed as Pending. Have completed inspections and will soon close.
• 7479 homes have closed in the past 12 months.

Mortgage interest rates
30 year fixed – 3.55%
15 year fixed – 2.8%

 

The Housing Inventory Has Hit An All-Time Low

The number of available homes for sale typically decreases in the months of November and December, but this year’s current inventory is lower than what has been considered normal.  According to sources that keep track of housing statistics, the number of active listings on November 28th showed a 23% decrease compared to the same time period in 2020 and a 42% drop compared to 2019.

Even with the weather getting colder, the demand for homes will remain strong. New listings added through the months of January and February won’t increase the inventory significantly as these will likely sell quickly to buyers hoping to avoid competition during the annual spring surge which in early spring.

Those expecting a market crash that will soon end the current seller’s market should decide if they want to be homeowners or renters. Low housing inventory and mortgage rates at less than half of what they were fifteen years ago will continue to drive the annual multiple-offer frenzy we’ve witnessed each spring for the past eight years.

2021 Concludes with Continued Housing Shortage

The Lansing area real estate remains an active seller’s market with enthusiastic buyers jumping on new listings in spite of the traditional holiday slowdown. With limited choices, newly listed homes continued to receive acceptable offers within a few days.

Sales and Inventory of Residential Homes as of December 28th
496 currently active listings. (Entire Lansing area market area)
273 homes with accepted offers.
392 homes pending a closing date.
7452 homes have closed in the past twelve months.

Mortgage Rates at 3.05%
3.05% is the current 30 year interest rate closing out December.  This monthly mortgage payment will cost a buyer $4.24 per each thousand of borrowed money.
($100,000 mortgage = $424 monthly payment)

 

Low Inventory Continues…Home Values Rise

Average home prices have continued to rise as shown by third-quarter (July – September) sales results. Mortgage rates are currently at 3.09% making it easy for buyers to make extremely competitive offers for the few available home choices.  Through July, August and September, sellers continued to receive offers exceeding the listing price and are often given an “appraisal guarantee” assuring that the buyer will provide additional, out-of-pocket, funds for the closing of the purchase.

According to third quarter 2021 sales statistics,  the average sales price of Lansing area homes increased from $194,103 at the end of September 2020 to $213,401 on September 30, 2021.  This is a 9.1% increase and represents an average home value increase of $19,298.  Average selling time for many homes is less than one month.  These figures include all sales through the Greater Lansing Association of Realtors.

 Check out our Third Quarter Sales Statistics Link (below) for an update of sales activity by community. (Please note that pending sales, properties under contract that have not yet closed, are not factored into these statistics.)

Third Quarter 2021 Sales Statistics


Market  View – October 28, 2021

• A strong seller’s market continues through the month of October.
• 675 homes listed for sale in the five county greater Lansing area.
• 413 homes have accepted offers, awaiting inspections .
• 617 home are listed as Pending. Have completed inspections and will soon close.

 

 

Is Lansing area Housing Becoming Overvalued?

Home values in the Lansing area have risen by more than 12% over the past year.
This means, a home that sold for $250,000 a year ago would likely sell for $280,500 today.

This rapid rise in prices has many buyers and homeowners wondering if the housing market is becoming overvalued.

Is there a housing crash on the horizon?
This is not the first time the real estate market was considered to be overvalued. Home values escalated in 2002 through 2006, just before the nationwide housing market collapse.

Things are different in today’s market. During the last housing bubble, there was a huge surge in new home construction and extremely lax mortgage-lending standards.

In the current market, there an ongoing shortage of homes for sale across the mid-Michigan area. Instead of having too many houses on the market, we currently have a situation where the number of available properties falls well below the demand. This is the number-one reason why prices have risen so sharply over the past year or two.

Even though buyers continue to pay above asking price, that does not necessarily mean a crash is on the way. The ongoing problem with supply and demand will continue to force home values upward in the foreseeable future.

If real estate home values continue to climb, there could eventually be a decline in home sales due to many buyers being priced out of the market.  In addition, buyers may reconsider purchasing a home. Buyers worry that they will overpay for a home, only to see prices drop over the next few years. This can lead to a homeowner being “upside down” or underwater in the mortgage loan.

No one can predict future real estate or economic trends with complete accuracy.  So, home buyers simply have to think long term, when buying a home. Houses tend to gain value over the long term. That is what makes real estate one of the best investments over time.

 

No End in Sight for the Current Housing Market

The housing shortage continues to drive the real estate market with sellers receiving offers almost immediately after listing their home…often well above the asking price.
Unprepared homebuyers are losing out to buyers with deeper pockets or those savvy enough to present an offer that is more likely to “win” the  home.

A typical story…
A buyer family currently owns a modest home that will sell easily. They have strong financing, been pre-approved for a mortgage and hope to upgrade to a larger home that will accommodate their growing family. This morning their Realtor notifies them that a home has become available in one of their target neighborhoods. They visit the home immediately after work that same day and decide to make an offer.  During the visit, the Realtor is informed via email or text that the seller has received multiple offers and all buyers must submit their “highest and best” by 9am tomorrow.

This fast-moving market has been driven by buyer demand, low mortgage rates and tight housing inventories.  It is an extremely competitive environment with a large number of prospective homebuyers making up the buyer pool.  As a result, buyers must be prepared to act quickly once they find the right home. Otherwise, they may not be moving any time soon.

Successful homebuyers have been increasing their budgets, decreasing their expectations, and even waiving standard contingencies like the home inspection…but be careful. These are practices to consider when making an offer on a home.

If you like the home…so will someone else!
It’s inevitable, if you are willing to make an offer…so are others.  Gone are the days when buyers could take a few days to consider the purchase and make a second visit to the home before making an offer.  In this market you must be prepared to make an instant decision.

Be prepared!  Well-maintained homes that have been priced appropriately can sell in the first few days on the market. If you really like a property, make sure you have an offer ready. The listing agent/homeowner likely won’t wait long, especially if there are other interested buyers.

Low-ball offers?  Forget making an offer below the listing price. Unless the home is grossly overpriced or requires too many expensive updates, a “low-ball” offer has little chance of being accepted.

Waiving the inspection contingency?  This has become a common offer tool which isn’t a good idea. While this may win a signed contract, buyers are placing themselves at risk of purchasing a “money pit”.

Current Mortgage Pre-approval.  Make certain your letter from the lender is updated. These letters normally expire after 60 days and may not be easily obtained when needed.

Appraisal Guarantee.  This is a way of assuring the seller that you will personally pay, in cash, the difference between the accepted offer and the home’s appraised value as determined by your mortgage provider. Paying more than the home is worth is a good financial strategy only as long as you plan to live there long enough to see home values rise.

Your down payment. The more money you can put down, the better. This tells the seller that you are a serious buyer with strong mortgage financing.  However, you don’t want to overextend yourself by using all your savings to make an attractive offer. You want to have money set aside to furnish the home and pay for needed improvements after you move in.

Be flexible with your closing date
When a home is occupied, the seller will likely need time move out.  It’s not unreasonable to expect the seller to move within 14 days after closing, but circumstances may require the seller to ask for 30 to 60 days before you can occupy your new home.  Allowing sellers the flexibility  to move on their timeline may possibly make your offer more attractive than the others.

Lansing Area Home Values Increase 12.2%

7077953.largeHome prices will almost certainly continue to rise through 2021, primarily due to limited supply and strong demand.  Mortgage rates remain at only a little above 3% making it easy for buyers to make extremely competitive offers for very few available home choices.  Sellers receiving offers exceeding the listing price are often given an “appraisal guarantee” assuring that the buyer will provide additional, out-of-pocket, funds for the closing of the purchase.

According to First quarter 2021 sales statistics,  the average sales price of Lansing area homes has increased from $178,903 at the end of March 2020 to $200,743 on March 31, 2021.  This is a 12.2% increase and represents an average home value increase of $21,840.  Average selling time for many homes is less than one month.  These figures include all sales through the Greater Lansing Association of Realtors.

 Check out our Fourth Quarter Sales Statistics Link (below) for an update of sales activity by community. (Please note that pending sales, properties under contract that have not yet closed, are not factored into these statistics.)

First Quarter 2021 Sales Statistics


Market  View – April 27, 2021

– A strong seller’s market continues as we enter the Spring selling season.
– Only 320 homes listed for sale in the five county greater Lansing area.
– 332 homes have accepted offers, awaiting inspections .
– 600 home are listed as Pending. Have completed inspections and will soon close.

Housing Inventory at a Record Low…Sale Prices Escalate

Who would have thought that offering $35,000 over the asking price for a home listed at $215,000 would not be enough?  Yet, buyers competing with multiple offers are finding that their excessively high offer might be beaten by someone willing to pay more.

Homes are selling fast
If you live in a neighborhood where a home has recently been listed, you may notice a great deal of traffic for a few days…then nothing.  This means that buyers had a limited time to view and present their offers.  Then the listing agent presents all offers, often between 6 to as many as 16, for the seller’s consideration. Once a selection is made, showings are generally closed.  This is the current state of real estate sales!

Multiple Offers are  Common
Limited inventory has increased the price buyers are willing to pay because low mortgage rates have given buyers the purchasing power to offer more than the asking price.  Buyers who have been shopping for the past nine months have become used to offering a good deal more than asking price if they hope to close on a home in this competitive market where multiple offers have become a standard.

Appraisal Guarantee
Whenever a mortgage is involved, the lender will require an appraisal of the home’s true market value.  No matter how much a buyer has been approved to borrow, lenders will likely be unwilling to finance a loan for more than the home is worth.

The latest buyer strategy is to agree to make up, with cash, any difference between the offer amount and what the lender will contribute.  This practice favors buyers with large down payments or deep pockets.  Those who can afford only loan programs offering minimal down payments are usually unable to compete with offers containing and appraisal guarantee.

Inflated List Prices
The housing shortage, along with buyer willingness to offer inflated prices, is driving seller expectations upward.  We have begun to see homes listed for as much as 10% over market value, regardless of the properties condition, in neighborhoods that do not support the asking price.  An interested buyer may have to consider paying top dollar for a property that does not quite fit their needs and may require serious updating.

Don’t Panic
Buyers need to be patient during their home search.  More homes will soon become available as the weather warms and we enter the spring selling market.  It may take time to find a home you love.  Once you do, be prepared to move forward quickly.