Homebuyers saw a turning point in interest rates beginning in June 2024. The Federal Reserve decided not to raise overnight borrowing rates, keeping them at 5.25%-5.50%. This is a sign that inflation is moving closer to the Fed’s 2% target. However, the Fed anticipates only one rate cut by year-end, which could impact the housing market.

Mortgage rates have decreased to their lowest levels since March 2023 but remain around 7% for the 30-year fixed mortgage. This rate is typically available only to those with excellent credit and a 20% down payment, which might explain why housing sales are 10% below mid-2023 levels.

Most economists expect rates to drop slightly by the end of 2024. Fannie Mae predicts an average rate of 7%, while the Mortgage Bankers Association, Realtor.com, and Wells Fargo forecast a drop to 6.5%. The difference between 7% and 6.5% is $122 per month on a $400,000 mortgage.